基于多成分过程模拟的北极近岸综合体作业研究

作者：Oleg V.Tarovik,Alex Topaj,Andrey B.Krestyantsev,Aleksander A.Kondratenko,Dmitry A.Zaikin

摘要：We developed a detailed simulation model of the Arctic marine transport system(MTS)for oil platform Prirazlomnaya.The model has a multidisciplinary nature and involves:sub-models of various transport and technological processes;stochastic weather generator to obtain time series of 15 environmental parameters;and contextual planning algorithm to build voyage plan considering several types of ships and cargoes.We used a significant amount of real operational data to identify model parameters and to prove its statistical reliability.Our main scientific task is to investigate the interaction of various processes of a different nature,while the practical aim is to find a set of measures to increase the efficiency of MTS.The results of the study reveal many examples of the mutual interaction of various processes that need to be considered at the design stage to avoid technical mistakes.The study formed a basis for making managerial decisions at the top level of Gazprom Neft Shelf Company.

发文机构：Krylov State Research Centre Gazprom Neft Shelf LLC

关键词：MarinetransportsystemDiscreteeventsimulationOFFSHOREoilplatformStochasticweathergeneratorVESSELVOYAGEplanningSupplyVESSELSoperationARCTICtankersMarine transport systemDiscrete event simulationOffshore oil platformStochastic weather generatorVessel voyage planningSupply vessels operationArctic tankers

分类号： T[一般工业技术]