Driving factors of urban land growth in Guangzhou and its implications for sustainable development

作者：Xuezhu CUI,Shaoying LI,Xuetong WANG,Xiaolong XUE

摘要：Since 2000, China’s urban land has expanded at a dramatic speed because of the country’s rapid urbanization. The country has been experiencing unbalanced development between rural and urban areas, causing serious challenges such as agricultural security and land resources waste. Effectively evaluating the driving factors of urban land growth is essential for improving efficient land use management and sustainable urban development. This study established a principal component regression model based on eight indicators to identify their influences on urban land growth in Guangzhou. The results provided a grouping analysis of the driving factors, and found that economic growth, urban population, and transportation development are the driving forces of urban land growth of Guangzhou, while the tertiary industry has an opposite effect. The findings led to further suggestions and recommendations for urban sustainable development. Hence, local governments should design relevant policies for achieving the rational development of urban land use and strategic planning on urban sustainable development.

发文机构：School of Management School of Geographical Science

关键词：drivingfactorsURBANLANDgrowthprincipalcomponentregressionLANDmanagementPOLICYSUSTAINABLEdevelopmentGUANGZHOU

分类号： P[天文地球]