EXPERIMENTS ON IMPACT-BASED FORECASTING AND RISKBASED WARNING OF TYPHOON IN CHINA

作者：LI WEI,JIAYING LI,XUAN YANG

摘要：Typhoon is one of the disastrous weather systems that usually occur in summer and autumn in China’s coastalregions.Gales and rainstorms brought by typhoon can directly cause serious loss in economy and also induce storm surge,flash flood,mud-rock flow,landslide and other secondary disasters.This article studies the impact of collapsing force of typhoon gale and the risk-based warning of typhoon rainstorm.By calculating the accumulated wind pressure and the designed wind load of bearing walls of low-rise building in coastal region,we define the damaged building index.In addition,four steps for the risk-based warning or impact forecasting for small and medium-sized river basins,flash flood,mud flows and landslides caused by Typhoon rainstorm are introduced,which include understanding vulnerability of disaster carriers,developing risk thresholds of disasters,improving the accuracy of QPE/QPF and the risk assessment skill.

发文机构：National Meteorological Centre of China Meteorological Administration

关键词：COLLAPSINGforceofTYPHOONwindpressuredamagedbuildingindexTORRENTIALRAINFALLrisk-basedWARNING

分类号： P429[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]P444