RECENT PROGRESS IN STORM SURGE FORECASTING

作者：NADAO KOHNO,SHISHIR KDUBE,MIKHAIL ENTEL,SHMFAKHRUDDIN,DIANA GREENSLADE,MARIE-DOMINIQUE LEROUX,JAMIE RHOME,AND NGUYEN BA THUY

摘要：This report briefly summarizes recent progress in storm surge forecasts, one of topics discussed during the fourth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Process(IWTCLP 4) held during 5-8 December, 2017. In the workshop, improvement of storm surge forecasting system was mainly discussed with relevance to the problem of estimating the impacts of tropical cyclone landfall.To deal with storm surges, accurate TC condition(predictions and forecasts) as input, reasonable storm surge predictions(with forecasting systems), and effective advisories/warnings(i.e. useful information products) are necessary. Therefore, we need to improve storm surge related matters systematically: input, prediction system, and ef fective information.This report tries to highlight recent progress in the field of storm surges in relation to three key points: improvement in storm surge forecasting models/system, TC conditions as input for storm surge predictions, and informative products for end users.

发文机构：Japan Meteorological Agency Amity University Rajasthan Bureau of Meteorology Tonkin+Taylor International Ltd National Hurricane Center Meteo-France National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting

关键词：STORMSURGEStropicalCYCLONEFORECASTsystemWARNINGLANDFALL

分类号： P731.3[天文地球—海洋科学]